Wednesday, January 7, 2009

January Projections

I will make projections on the current team once a month until the season starts. The only things that will likely change are the lineups and/or rotation configuration 

25 man roster

Jorge Posada C
Mark Teixiera 1B
Robinson Cano 2B
Derek Jeter SS
Alex Rodriguez 3B
Johnny Damon LF
Brett Gardner CF
Xavier Nady RF
Hideki Matsui DH

Nick Swisher 1B/OF
Cody Ransom UTL
Melky Cabrera OF
Jose Molina C

CC Sabathia SP
Chien Ming Wang SP
AJ Burnett SP
Joba Chamberlain SP
Phil Hughes SP

Mariano Rivera CL
Damaso Marte SU
Brian Bruney SU
Jose Veras RHP
Edwar Ramirez RHP
Phil Coke LHP
Alfredo Aceveas RHP

Lineup

1. Johnny Damon LF
2. Derek Jeter SS
3. Mark Teixiera 1B
4. Alex Rodriguez 3B
5. Hideki Matsui DH
6. Xavier Nady RF
7. Jorge Posada C
8. Robinson Cano 2B
9. Brett Gardner CF

Rotation

CC Sabathia
Chien Ming Wang
AJ Burnett
Joba Chamberlain
Phil Hughes

Bench

Nick Swisher 1B/OF
Cody Ransom UTL
Melky Cabrera OF
Jose Molina C

Bullpen

Alfredo Aceves LRP
Phil Coke MRP
Edwar Ramirez MRP
Jose Veras MRP
Brian Bruney SU
Damaso Marte SU
Mariano Rivera CL

Projections

Johnny Damon - 151 G / .311 BA / .380 OBP / 121 OPS+ / 16 HR / 81 RBI / 27 SB 

Derek Jeter - 157 G / .318 BA / .358 OBP / 113 OPS+ / 11 HR / 70 RBI / 12 SB

Mark Teixiera - 159 G / .306 BA / .397 OBP / 143 OPS+ / 32 HR / 114 RBI / 1 SB

Alex Rodriguez - 153 G / .302 BA / .403 OBP / 162 OPS+ / 47 HR / 135 RBI / 15 SB

Hideki Matsui - 128 G / .287 BA / .373 OBP / 114 OPS+ / 21 HR / 83 RBI / 0 SB

Xavier Nady - 135 G / .278 BA / .347 OBP / 109 OPS+ / 19 HR / 85 RBI / 2 SB

Jorge Posada - 149 G / .298 BA / .378 OBP / 118 OPS+ / 17 HR / 91 RBI / 1 SB

Robinson Cano - 155 G / .311 BA / .348 OBP / 120 OPS+ / 21 HR / 87 RBI / 6 SB

Brett Gardner - 135 G / .267 BA / .326 OBP / 92 OPS+ / 1 HR / 47 RBI / 43 SB

____________________________________________________________

CC Sabathia - 18-7 / 33 GS / 238 IP / 3.16 ERA / 148 ERA+ / 225 SO  

Chien Ming Wang - 17-5 / 31 GS / 204 IP / 3.57 ERA / 126 ERA+ / 107 SO

AJ Burnett - 15-6 / 27 GS / 189 IP / 3.71 ERA / 118 ERA+ / 201 SO

Joba Chamberlain - 11-4 / 18 GS / 157 IP / 2.97 ERA / 151 ERA+ / 187 SO

Phil Hughes - 10-6 /20 GS / 148 IP / 4.01 ERA / 121 ERA+ / 149 SO

____________________________________________________________

AL Awards 

MVP - Alex Rodriguez 

CY Young - Roy Halladay

Manager of the Year - Bob Geren 

Rookie of the Year - Matt Wieters

Comeback Player of the Year - Robinson Cano

NL Awards 

MVP - Albert Pujols

CY Young - Rich Harden

Manager of the Year - Jerry Manuel

Rookie of the Year - ??

Comeback Player of the Year - Andruw Jones (gotta go with the odds)


Projected Standings

AL East

Yankees 96-66***
Red Sox 93-69*
Rays 89-73
Orioles 78-84
Blue Jays 76-86

AL Central

Twins 91-71**
Tigers 87-75
Royals 81-81
Indians 79-83
White Sox 74-88

AL West

Athletics 87-75**
Angels 85-79
Rangers 82-80
Mariners 69-93

NL East

Mets 95-77***
Phillies 92-70*
Braves 85-77
Marlins 81-81
Nationals 74-88

NL Central 

Cubs 94-78**
Astros 89-73
Cardinals 87-75
Reds 80-82
Brewers 79-83

NL West 

Dodgers 88-74**
Diamondbacks 86-76
Giants 85-77
Rockies 80-82
Padres 68-94

***- best record
**- division
*- wild card



What do you think about the World Baseball Classic?

Thus far the United States team looks like this:

Manager: Davey Johnson

Catcher: Brian McCann

First Base: Kevin Youkilis

Second Base: Dustin Pedroia

Shortstop: Derek Jeter (captain)

Third Base: David Wright

Left Field: Larry "Chipper" Jones

Center Field: Grady Sizemore

Right Field: Ryan Braun


Bench: Jimmy Rollins, Mark DeRosa


Rotation: Roy Oswalt, John Lackey


Bullpen: Joe Nathan


Thats one hell of a team thus far if you ask me. But the question isn't whether or not you think the team is looking good. Its whether or not you like your teams players playing in it? The Yankees new Trio (Burnett, Teixiera, Sabathia) have already declined to play. Most likely due to the fact that they were just paid ALOT of money by the Yankees to play for the Yankees, not the team that doesn't mean anything after March. I, myself enjoy watching the World Baseball Class, mostly because I love baseball in general. I woke up at 5am in 2006 to watch the opening round in Japan on ESPN every morning. But to me, if my teams players can avoid playing in the WBC, I would like them to skip it. I will enjoy watching Jeter represent the US and Rodriguez represent the DR, but it would be an understatement to say it would be a disaster if one of them pull up lame running out a ground ball in a useless game. Its more or less the players like Cano, and Chamberlain who I don't want to see participating. My reason for Cano being that he should be concerned about how he does for the Yankees this season considering how he played last season. As for Chamberlain, he had the tendinitis problem at the end of the season, and thats one thing I would hate for that to be reaggrivated. Not to mention his innings limit would be affected, and we need Chamberlain pitching for the Yankees every opportunity he can. 

All I know is, I will be going to at least 11 games this season, and I don't want a major part of the Yankees on the DL because of the World Baseball Classic. 11 games + the ridiculous price of the ticket, I would not be happy seeing Cody Ransom (as much as I like the guy) starting over at 3rd base in place of an injured A-Rod

Yankee News For Tuesday January 6th

Mark Teixiera introduced as the newest Yankee


Mark Teixiera is now a Yankee. A happy one too. It only took an 8 year, 180 million dollar contract to get him here. As expected, he took Giambi's former jersey number (#25) so everyone with an authentic Giambi Jersey (number, no name on the back) I hope you didn't sell it. 

For what its worth from what I gathered from the press conference, Teixiera's happiness to be in New York  seemed more legitimate than that of Sabathia and Burnett. Its obvious (whether he ever says it or not) Sabathia is in NY for the money. And who would blame him? I mean, 161 million opposed to what, 110 million? He would be insane not to come to NY for that money. But that doesn't technically mean he wants be here. Thats not to say he wont put his heart into every single pitch he throws for us, because the guy seems like a real workhorse and would have pitched his all even if he played for the Royals for 2 dollars next season. 

Burnett on the other hand, seemed excited, but I think it came down to money (he was "offered" the same amount from the Braves) but with the Braves he would have been depended on to be the "ace" of the rotation, and he doesn't seem like the guy that could thrive up top (Halladay in Toronto, and Dontrelle/Beckett in Florida). 

Now with Teixiera, every word he spoke yesterday afternoon seemed like it was the God's honest truth. Its obvious (since his agent IS Scott Boras) that he wasn't going to take a lower offer to play for a certain team. But you could tell that he wanted to be a Yankee from the get go. He waited for the Yankees to jump in and make an offer until he made his choice. Could he have taken the Red Sox 170 million dollar offer that was on the table for about 2 weeks? Or the Nationals 180+ million dollar offer that was on the table? Certainly. But he didn't. His favorite player growing up (Mattingly) is a popular discussion point when talking about Teixiera this offseason, and though I think it made no difference in the decision, I do believe he wanted to be here all along. He said he knew he wanted to be a Yankee about 2 weeks before Christmas, which is 12 days before an offer was announced (same day as he accepted the offer). He, and Scott Boras mentioned that the Yankees and Teixiera were in "discussions" all along, and while that may be true, I believe it was only to draw the price up for the Red Sox. I dont believe the Yankees had interest in actually signing him, or at least showed any interest until the day before or the day that Teixiera was signed. 

I'll be the first person to admit that I really had little-to-no interest in signing Teixiera, as I had already accepted the fact that he was a Red Sock. And don't get me wrong, I believe Teixiera is the best first baseman in the entire league (don't worry, i'm not even going to compare him to Pujols as Pujols is in his own league). Not just offensively, but defensively, the Yankees got one of if not the best (excluding Pujols again) overall First Baseman in the entire league. My only problem from the start has been the money. Is Teixiera the third best offensive/defensive player behind Arod, and Jeter? Now you may say Jeter isn't the second best offensive/defensive player (nor do I think he's even close) but Jeter brings more to the Yankees than his on-the-field stats. There are many different opinions about the money Teixiera is being paid (more negative comments from Sox fans of course) I just don't think Teixiera is worth 180 million dollars. But I guess we'll just have to see come to next few years.

The Latest on Pettitte

As most fans already know, Andy Pettitte declined the Yankees 1 year 10 million dollar offer that was on the table. Now the Yankees plan on making a smaller offer to Pettitte. It seems as though the Yankees are sick of playing games. Both parts obviously want to be together in the end, so why not just get something done? This should have been wrapped up before Free Agency even started. From the start, Pettitte said he only wanted to play with the Yankees, and now all of a sudden he's "making up" 3 year offers which haven't been confirmed by anyone. If he wants to play here, why won't he just man up and take the 10 million? His 2008 numbers prove that he doesn't even deserve that much, its the Yankees being generous. Don't get me wrong, in my opinion the Yankees need Pettitte because they lack the veteran presence in the rotation. As of today the rotation would be:

Sabathia (28)
Wang (28) 
Burnett (33)
Chamberlain (23)
Hughes (22)

Burnett may be 33 years old, but he hasn't pitched enough to be a "veteran" for the team. So my advice to both the Yankees and Pettitte: Andy, your not going to get much (if any) more from any other team, and if you want to be a Yankee so bad like you say, you'll stop being stingy and take what the Yankees offer. Don't forget the support your fans gave you after the whole steroid bullsh*t that occured before last season.

Just get it done.


Yankees sign Angel Berroa to minor league deal



Ken Rosenthal of Fox reported that the Yankees have signed Angel Berroa to a minor league contract. 


Since his rookie season, Berroa really has been a let down. Obviously with the signing being for the minors, the Yankees don't expect him to come in and be an integral part of the team. He will likely compete with Cody Ransom for the utility job during Spring Training. I for one am a fan of this deal. Its such a low risk signing for a kid that can come in and play when Jeter or Cano need to rest. Obviously he's not going to come in and be a savior off the bench, and it would be idiotic to think that, but for a potential bench player, its a good signing.

Duel Yankees Find Themselves Wearing New (and 1 familiar) uniform



On tuesday Carl Pavano signed a 1 year 1.5 million dollar contract with the Cleveland Indians with 5.3 Million more in incentive bonus' (possibly if he makes more than 10 starts, which would be more games than the last 3 with the Yankees).

As much as I hope he does terrible for the Indians because of what he put Yankee fans through the last 4 years, but I really believe the guy will have a decent year this season. I can honestly see him winning about 13 games this season.



Also on tuesday, Jason Giambi signed a 1 year deal with his former team (Athletics) worth about 4.5 Million. 

I like this deal for the A's. I don't think people realize that Giambi had a pretty good season in 2008, worth more than 4.5 million in my opinion. He gets to live close to his home in Las Vegas and gets to return to his former team, although I don't believe Billy Beane has kept any of G's former teamates. 



New Blog

Im new to the blogging game. It'll be some fun to spit out some opinions about my beloved Yankees. I'll be attempting to keep this updated with news daily.